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讲座预告| 市政财政和劳动力流动

信息来源: 发布日期:2025-06-18

学术讲座预告

Seminar Notice

讲座题目:



Municipal Finance and Labor Mobility


主讲嘉宾:高晓丹



时间:2025年6月20日,周五,10:00-11:30

地点:学术会堂603


主办方:中国金融发展研究院


讲座地址:中央财经大学(学院南路校区)北京市海淀区学院南路39号


嘉宾介绍


     

 高晓丹,现任中国人民大学商学院财务与金融系副教授。她于加拿大英属哥伦比亚大学获得经济学博士学位。研究领域主要包括公司财务与宏观经济学。其研究成果发表在《Review of Financial Studies》《Management Science》、《Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control》、《Review of Economic Dynamics》等国内外顶尖期刊。她多次在中、美、欧各大金融学年会报告研究成果,包括美国金融协会年会、中国金融国际年会、欧洲金融协会年会和欧洲经济协会年会等

讲座摘要


We examines how labor mobility influences municipal financing decisions, particularly the balance between debt and taxation. Using Annual Comprehensive Financial Reports from the 1,200 largest U.S. cities spanning 2008-2021, we find that net labor in-migration leads municipalities to increase tax rates while reducing debt reliance. We develop a theoretical model demonstrating that the tax elasticity of labor mobility critically determines financing choices. When mobility is highly tax-sensitive, municipalities favor debt financing to avoid tax-induced out-migration. When mobility is highly tax-sensitive, municipalities favor debt financing to avoid tax-induced out-migration. When mobility is less elastic, municipalities can rely more on taxation. Our calibration reveals that labor mobility is relatively inelastic to tax changes, explaining the observed reduction in municipal leverage following in-migration. Two competing mechanisms emerge: labor influx increases service demand, raising fiscal pressures, while simultaneously expanding the tax base and enhancing revenue capacity. When tax elasticity is inelastic, the tax base expansion effect dominates, resulting in net debt reduction. These findings illuminate how municipalities strategically adapt their financing mix based on labor mobility patterns.

来源:陈翀

编辑:王文忠

初审:赵阳

审核:吴仰儒

       

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